TY  - JOUR
AU  - Zivin,Joshua Graff
AU  - Neidell,Matthew J.
TI  - Temperature and the Allocation of Time: Implications for Climate Change
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 15717
PY  - 2010
Y2  - February 2010
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15717
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15717.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
Joshua S. Graff Zivin
University of California, San Diego
9500 Gilman Drive, MC 0519
La Jolla, CA 92093-0519
Tel: 858/822-6438
E-Mail: jgraffzivin@ucsd.edu

Matthew J. Neidell
Department of Health Policy and Management
Columbia University
600 W 168th Street, 6th Floor
New York, NY 10032
Tel: 212/342-4522
Fax: 212/305-3405
E-Mail: mn2191@columbia.edu
AB  - In this paper we estimate the impacts of climate change on the allocation of time using econometric models that exploit plausibly exogenous variation in daily temperature over time within counties.  We find large reductions in U.S. labor supply in industries with high exposure to climate and similarly large decreases in time allocated to outdoor leisure.  We also find suggestive evidence of short-run adaptation through temporal substitutions and acclimatization.    Given the industrial composition of the US, the net impacts on total employment are likely to be small, but significant changes in leisure time as well as large scale redistributions of income may be consequential.  In developing countries, where the industrial base is more typically concentrated in climate-exposed industries and baseline temperatures are already warmer, employment impacts may be considerably larger.
ER  -