@techreport{NBERw15434, title = "Paying a Premium on Your Premium? Consolidation in the U.S. Health Insurance Industry", author = "Leemore Dafny and Mark Duggan and Subramaniam Ramanarayanan", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "15434", year = "2009", month = "October", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w15434", abstract = {We examine whether and to what extent consolidation in the U.S. health insurance industry is leading to higher employer-sponsored insurance premiums. We make use of a proprietary, panel dataset of employer-sponsored healthplans enrolling over 10 million Americans annually between 1998 and 2006 to explore the relationship between premium growth and changes in market concentration. We exploit the differential impact of a large national merger of two insurance firms across local markets to estimate the causal effect of concentration on market-level premiums. We estimate real premiums increased by approximately 7 percentage points (in a typical market) due to the rise in concentration during our study period. We also find evidence that consolidation facilitates the exercise of monopsonistic power vis a vis physicians, whose absolute employment and relative earnings decline in its wake.}, }