@techreport{NBERw14846, title = "Confidence, Crashes and Animal Spirits", author = "Roger E.A. Farmer", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "14846", year = "2009", month = "April", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w14846", abstract = {This paper presents a model of the macroeconomy that reformulates what I take to be two important ideas from Keynes General Theory. The first is that there may be a continuum of steady state unemployment rates. The second is that beliefs select an equilibrium. I argue that search and matching costs in the labor market lead to the existence of a continuum of equilibria and I resolve the resulting indeterminacy by assuming that the beliefs of stock market participants are self-fulfilling. The paper reconciles Keynesian economics with general equilibrium theory without invoking the assumption of frictions that prevent wages and prices from reaching their equilibrium levels.}, }