TY - JOUR AU - Kotchen,Matthew J. AU - Grant,Laura E. TI - Does Daylight Saving Time Save Energy? Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Indiana JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14429 PY - 2008 Y2 - October 2008 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14429 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14429.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Matthew Kotchen School of Forestry & Environmental Studies, School of Management, and Department of Economics Yale University 195 Prospect Street New Haven, CT 06511 Tel: 203/432-9533 Fax: 203/436-9150 E-Mail: matthew.kotchen@yale.edu Laura Grant Assistant Professor School of Freshwater Sciences & Department of Economics University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee E-Mail: grantle@uwm.edu AB - The history of Daylight Saving Time (DST) has been long and controversial. Throughout its implementation during World Wars I and II, the oil embargo of the 1970s, consistent practice today, and recent extensions, the primary rationale for DST has always been to promote energy conservation. Nevertheless, there is surprisingly little evidence that DST actually saves energy. This paper takes advantage of a natural experiment in the state of Indiana to provide the first empirical estimates of DST effects on electricity consumption in the United States since the mid-1970s. Focusing on residential electricity demand, we conduct the first-ever study that uses micro-data on households to estimate an overall DST effect. The dataset consists of more than 7 million observations on monthly billing data for the vast majority of households in southern Indiana for three years. Our main finding is that -- contrary to the policy's intent -- DST increases residential electricity demand. Estimates of the overall increase are approximately 1 percent, but we find that the effect is not constant throughout the DST period. DST causes the greatest increase in electricity consumption in the fall, when estimates range between 2 and 4 percent. These findings are consistent with simulation results that point to a tradeoff between reducing demand for lighting and increasing demand for heating and cooling. We estimate a cost of increased electricity bills to Indiana households of $9 million per year. We also estimate social costs of increased pollution emissions that range from $1.7 to $5.5 million per year. Finally, we argue that the effect is likely to be even stronger in other regions of the United States. ER -