TY - JOUR AU - Fahlenbrach,Rüdiger AU - Stulz,René M. TI - Managerial Ownership Dynamics and Firm Value JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 13202 PY - 2007 Y2 - June 2007 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13202 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13202.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Rüdiger Fahlenbrach Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL) Quartier UNIL-Dorigny Bâtiment Extranef, # 211 1015 Lausanne Switzerland E-Mail: ruediger.fahlenbrach@epfl.ch Rene M. Stulz The Ohio State University Fisher College of Business 806A Fisher Hall Columbus, OH 43210-1144 Tel: 614/292-1970 Fax: 614/292-2359 E-Mail: stulz_1@cob.osu.edu AB - From 1988 to 2003, the average change in managerial ownership is significantly negative every year for American firms. The probability of large decreases in ownership is strongly increasing in contemporaneous and past stock returns but the probability of large increases in ownership through managerial purchases of shares is not. The relation between changes in Tobin's q and past and contemporaneous changes in ownership depends critically on controlling for past stock returns. When controlling for past stock returns, past large decreases in managerial ownership are unrelated to current changes in Tobin's q but there is some evidence that past large increases in managerial ownership are positively related to current changes in Tobin's q. Because managers sell shares when a firm's stock is performing well, large contemporaneous decreases in managerial ownership are associated with increases in Tobin's q. We argue that our evidence is mostly inconsistent with existing theories and propose a managerial discretion theory of ownership consistent with our evidence. ER -