TY - JOUR AU - Engel,Eduardo AU - Fischer,Ronald AU - Galetovic,Alexander TI - Renegotiation Without Holdup: Anticipating Spending and Infrastructure Concessions JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12399 PY - 2006 Y2 - July 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12399 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12399.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Eduardo Engel Yale University Department of Economics P.O. Box 208268 New Haven, CT 06520-8268 Tel: 203/432-5595 Fax: 203/432-5779 E-Mail: eduardo.engel@yale.edu Ronald Fischer Centro de Economia Aplicada (CEA) Departamento de Ingenieria Industrial Universidad de Chile Republica 701 Santiago CHILE E-Mail: rfischer@dii.uchile.cl Alexander Galetovic Fac. Cs. Economicas y Empresariales Universidad de Los Andes Av. San Carlos de Apoquindo 2200 Santiago CHILE E-Mail: alexander@galetovic.cl M2 - featured in NBER digest on 2006-07-31 AB - Infrastructure concessions are frequently renegotiated after investments are sunk, resulting in better contractual terms for the franchise holders. This paper offers a political economy explanation for renegotiations that occur with no apparent holdup. We argue that they are used by political incumbents to anticipate infrastructure spending and thereby increase the probability of winning an upcoming election. Contract renegotiations allow administrations to replicate the effects of issuing debt. Yet debt issues are incorporated in the budget, must be approved by Congress and are therefore subject to the opposition%u2019s review. By contrast, under current accounting standards the obligations created by renegotiations circumvent the budgetary process in most countries. Hence, renegotiations allow incumbents to spend more without being subject to Congressional oversight. ER -