TY - JOUR AU - Feng,Ye AU - Fullerton,Don AU - Gan,Li TI - Vehicle Choices, Miles Driven, and Pollution Policies JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 11553 PY - 2005 Y2 - August 2005 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11553 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11553.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Ye Feng University of Texas E-Mail: yfeng@eco.utexas.edu Don Fullerton Department of Finance University of Illinois BIF Box#30 (MC520) 515 East Gregory Drive Champaign, IL 61820 Tel: 217/244-3621 Fax: 217/244-3102 E-Mail: dfullert@illinois.edu Li Gan Department of Economics Texas A&M University College Station, TX 77843-4228 Tel: 979/862-1667 Fax: 979/847-8747 E-Mail: gan@econmail.tamu.edu M2 - featured in NBER digest on 2005-08-15 AB - Mobile sources contribute large percentages of each pollutant, but technology is not yet available to measure and tax emissions from each vehicle. We build a behavioral model of household choices about vehicles and miles traveled. The ideal-but-unavailable emissions tax would encourage drivers to abate emissions through many behaviors, some of which involve market transactions that can be observed for feasible market incentives (such as a gas tax, subsidy to new cars, or tax by vehicle type). Our model can calculate behavioral effects of each such price and thus calculate car choices, miles, and emissions. A nested logit structure is used to model discrete choices among different vehicle bundles. We also consider continuous choices of miles driven and the age of each vehicle. We propose a consistent estimation method for both discrete and continuous demands in one step, to capture the interactive effects of simultaneous decisions. Results are compared with those of the traditional sequential estimation procedure. ER -