TY - JOUR AU - Kiyotaki,Nobuhiro AU - West,Kenneth D. TI - Land Prices and Business Fixed Investments in Japan JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 10909 PY - 2004 Y2 - November 2004 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10909 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10909.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Nobuhiro Kiyotaki Department of Economics Princeton University Fisher Hall Princeton, NJ 08544-1021 Tel: 609-258-4000 Fax: 609-258-6419 E-Mail: kiyotaki@princeton.edu Kenneth D. West Department of Economics University of Wisconsin 1180 Observatory Drive Madison, WI 53706 Tel: 608/262-0033 Fax: 608/262-2033 E-Mail: kdwest@wisc.edu AB - Japan has seen episodes in which boom and bust in land prices is accompanied by boom and bust in business fixed investment. We develop a model that includes land in the production function. We show that in this model movements in land prices will be associated with movements of the capital stock in the same direction, provided the elasticity of substitution between land and capital is greater than one. We then estimate an aggregate investment function. Consistent with an elasticity greater than one, increases in land prices are associated with increases in the business capital stock even after controlling for movements in output and the cost of capital; decreases have a symmetric effect. In the end, however, we find that movements in land prices explain relatively little of the movement in the business fixed investment. In addition to possibly indicating that the elasticity is very near one, the small effect may result because of difficulty in extracting information from noisy land prices, neglect of the effects of regulations, and failure to consider credit constraints. ER -