TY - JOUR AU - Athey,Susan AU - Atkeson,Andrew AU - Kehoe,Patrick TI - The Optimal Degree of Discretion in Monetary Policy JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 10109 PY - 2003 Y2 - November 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10109 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10109.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Susan Athey Department of Economics Harvard University 1875 Cambridge St. Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 650/725-8696 Fax: 650/725-5702 E-Mail: athey@fas.harvard.edu Andrew Atkeson Bunche Hall 9381 Department of Economics UCLA Box 951477 Los Angeles, CA 90095-1477 Tel: 866/312-9770 Fax: 310/825-9528 E-Mail: andy@atkeson.net Patrick Kehoe Research Department Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis 90 Hennepin Avenue Minneapolis, MN 55480-0291 Tel: 612/204-5525 Fax: 612/204-5515 E-Mail: pkehoe@res.mpls.frb.fed.us AB - How much discretion should the monetary authority have in setting its policy? This question is analyzed in an economy with an agreed-upon social welfare function that depends on the randomly fluctuating state of the economy. The monetary authority has private information about that state. In the model, well-designed rules trade off society's desire to give the monetary authority discretion to react to its private information against society's need to guard against the time inconsistency problem arising from the temptation to stimulate the economy with unexpected inflation. Although this dynamic mechanism design problem seems complex, society can implement the optimal policy simply by legislating an inflation cap that specifies the highest allowable inflation rate. The more severe the time inconsistency problem, the more tightly the cap constrains policy and the smaller is the degree of discretion. As this problem becomes sufficiently severe, the optimal degree of discretion is none. ER -