TY - JOUR AU - Gustman,Alan L. AU - Steinmeier,Thomas L. TI - Retirement Effects of Proposals by the President's Commision to Strengthen Social Security JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 10030 PY - 2003 Y2 - October 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10030 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10030.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Alan L. Gustman Department of Economics Dartmouth College Hanover, NH 03755-3514 Tel: 603/646-2641 Fax: 603/646-2122 E-Mail: ALAN.L.GUSTMAN@DARTMOUTH.EDU Thomas Steinmeier Department of Economics Texas Tech University Lubbock, TX 79409 E-Mail: thomas.steinmeier@ttu.edu AB - A structural dynamic model of retirement and saving is used to simulate the retirement effects of proposals made by the President's Commission to Strengthen Social Security. Provisions reducing the growth in real benefits and increasing actuarial incentives to work reduce retirements. They more than offset increases in retirements caused by individual accounts, increased benefits for low wage workers and survivors, and reductions in the top AIME bracket. By 2075, the Commission's proposals would reduce retirements at age 62 by roughly 4 percentage points, mitigating an 8.7 percentage point trend to earlier retirement projected to reassert itself after its recent interruption. ER -