TY - JOUR AU - Garber,Peter M. TI - The Lender of Last Resort and the Run on the Savings and Loans JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 823 PY - 1981 Y2 - December 1981 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0823 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0823.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Peter M. Garber Deutsche Bank 60 Wall Street New York, NY 10005 Tel: 212/250-5466 Fax: 212/250-2628 E-Mail: peter.garber@db.com AB - Speculative runs on asset price fixing schemes are most often attributed either to an inexplicable mass hysteria or to a sudden, unpredictable random disturbance. Such attribution places runs and panics outside of the realm of scientific inquiry. Alternatively, in this paper I define the notion of a run as a discontinuous shift in portfolio asset holdings brought about by a belief in the end of the price fixing regime. I also argue that runs are foreseeable events and employ the current difficulties of S & L's to serve as an extended example which emphasizes such predictability. ER -