TY - JOUR AU - Eaton,Jonathan AU - Grossman,Gene M. TI - Tariffs as Insurance: Optimal Commercial Policy When Domestic Markets Are Incomplete JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 797 PY - 1985 Y2 - August 1985 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0797 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0797.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jonathan Eaton Department of Economics Penn State University 608 Kern Graduate Building University Park, PA 16802-3306 Tel: (814) 865 - 8871 Fax: (814) 863 - 4775 E-Mail: jxe22@psu.edu Gene M. Grossman International Economics Section Department of Economics Princeton University Princeton, NJ 08544 Tel: 609/258-4823 Fax: 609/258-1374 E-Mail: grossman@princeton.edu AB - Free trade is not optimal for a small country that faces uncertain terms of trade if some factors are immobile - ex post, and markets for contingent claims are incomplete. The government can improve social welfare by using commercial policy that serves as a partial substitute for missing insurance markets. Using a combination of analytical and simulation techniques we demonstrate that optimal policy for this purpose will often have an anti-trade bias. We also show that the usual preference by economists for factor or product taxes and subsidies over tariffs and export subsidies may not be justified in this context. ER -