@techreport{NBERw0625, title = "Explanations of Exchange Rate Volatility and Other Empirical Regularities in Some Popular Models of the Foreign Exchange Market", author = "Robert P. Flood", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "625", year = "1981", month = "February", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w0625", abstract = {The present paper is intended to accomplish two tasks. First, models predicting overshooting and magnification, respectively, will be checked for their consistency with two key empirical regularities: A. The observed pattern of price level vs. exchange-rate volatility. B. The observed pattern of spot exchange-rate vs. forward exchange-rate volatility. Second, a widely neglected reason for exchange-rate volatility, activist monetary policy, will be studied.}, }