10:47:36 From Conference Role Account to All panelists : Welcome to the NBER Summer Institute 2020 EFCE Workshop 10:48:45 From Conference Role Account : Welcome to the NBER Summer Institute 2020 EFCE Workshop 11:04:33 From Amir Kermani to Conference Role Account(Privately) : I think it is not streamed on youtube 11:05:09 From Conference Role Account to Amir Kermani(Privately) : Yes, we're having issues right now, but we are working on it 11:05:29 From Amir Kermani to Conference Role Account(Privately) : thanks 11:06:36 From Olivier Wang : the youtube stream doesnt work 11:10:17 From Martin Eichenbaum to All panelists : Willl tell NBER 11:11:37 From Martin Eichenbaum to Conference Role Account(Privately) : Apparently the YouTube stream in not working 11:22:54 From Conference Role Account to Martin Eichenbaum(Privately) : Yes, we're having issues right now, but we are working on it 11:23:09 From Martin Eichenbaum to Conference Role Account(Privately) : Thanks 11:27:03 From Conference Role Account : YouTube live stream is working now 11:32:39 From Thomas Philippon : These are very interesting findings. Note that the financing of intangible is also different. Typically intangibles have lower upfront cost, so easier to finance over time from cash flows. 11:33:10 From Thomas Philippon : Combining with stable recovery values, this suggests that credit constraints are likely to go down over time. 12:36:17 From Ivan Werning : I liked the paper! Thanks Ben 13:15:03 From Marco Del Negro to All panelists : my bad. I jumped in 2 minutes late and did not hear the announcement 13:17:44 From Marco Del Negro to All panelists : The “fwd guidance puzzle” paper. we do an analysis using BC (that btw controls for news) only for fwd guidance dates. https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/sr574.pdf 13:22:20 From Valerie A Ramey to All panelists : I have a question. 13:24:05 From Lita-NBER Staff to Yueran Ma(Privately) : You are on the video camera unless someone else shares their screen 13:24:43 From Yueran Ma : The high frequency monetary policy surprises in the data also seem to be predictable by previous Blue Chip and Greenbook forecasts. 13:26:24 From Mark Gertler : It may be that monetary policy is more systematics after the early 1980s — leading to smaller money shocks 13:27:29 From Lita-NBER Staff to Yueran Ma(Privately) : It meant to say that you are on the screen unless another presenter shares their screen. 13:29:04 From Tao Zha : Are these measured monetary policy shocks truly exogenous? The answer seems no. 13:29:57 From Michael Bauer : @Tao, exactly, that's how we interpret our regressions where the economic news variables predict the policy "surprises" 13:30:49 From Tao Zha : Thanks. 13:31:03 From Andrea Tambalotti to All panelists : Do your results "rule out" Delphic fwd guidance? 13:31:12 From Michael Bauer : @Tao: The market not knowing the policy reaction function, and learning about it, is a possible explanation for this correlation, and we have a little model to demonstrate that 13:31:13 From Valerie A Ramey to All panelists : I agree with Mark Gertler - I made that same argument in my Handbook chapter. 13:43:32 From Valerie A Ramey to All panelists : Marty - What is the title of the Keynes biography you just mentioned?