NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

NBER Publications by Salvatore Nisticò

Working Papers and Chapters

February 2009International Portfolio Allocation under Model Uncertainty
with Pierpaolo Benigno: w14734
This paper proposes an explanation of the international home bias in equity based on ambiguity aversion. We develop a simple dynamic model of consumption and portfolio decisions and derive the optimal portfolio allocation in terms of covariances between excess returns and the implied sources of risk. Under rational expectations and log utility, the only relevant risk underlying portfolio choices arises from fluctuations in non-tradeable labor income. We find that this hedging motif is empirically too weak to explain the observed lack of international diversification in equity portfolios. On the other hand, in an economy populated by ambiguity-averse agents, model uncertainty becomes an additional hedging reason which translates into long-run real exchange rate risk and is relevant even und...

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