NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

NBER Publications by Ray C. Fair

Contact and additional information for this authorAll papers and publicationsWorking Papers onlyWorking Papers with publication info

Working Papers and Chapters

December 2010Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits
in Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 25, Jeffrey Brown, editor
January 1993Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation
in Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting, James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, editors
February 1992The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics
w3990
October 1991Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations
with John B. Taylor: t0078
August 1991Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation
t0111
June 1991How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down?
w3757
March 1990The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well
w2877
October 1989Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints
with Donald W.K. Andrews: t0079
September 1989Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior
w3102
July 1989Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches
w3045
February 1988The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts
with Robert J. Shiller: w2503
1988VAR Models as Structural Approximations
w2495
June 1987Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations
with Kathryn M. Dominguez: w2280
May 1987Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation
with Robert J. Shiller: w2233
April 1987The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update
w2222
1987Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model
w2150
December 1986Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale
with Matthew D. Shapiro, Kathryn M. Dominguez: w2095
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination
w2105
International Evidence on the Demand for Money
w2106
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model
w2112
1986Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting
w1814
September 1984The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models
w1445
June 1984Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation
w1377
March 1984Excess Labor and the Business Cycle
w1292
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity
w1293
July 1981A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture
w0716
June 1981Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares
w0696
May 1981Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries
w0677
October 1980Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models
with John B. Taylor: t0005
August 1980Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy
w0538
December 1979A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised)
w0414
December 1977Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model
in Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 6, number 5, Sanford V. Berg, editor
October 1974On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models
in Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 3, number 4, Sanford V. Berg, editor
1974Methods for Computing Optimal Control Solutions: On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems
in Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 3, number 1, Sanford V. Berg, editor
October 1973A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model
w0015
1973Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals
with Gregory Chow
in Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 2, number 1, Sanford V. Berg, editor

Contact and additional information for this authorAll papers and publicationsWorking Papers onlyWorking Papers with publication info

 
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